Dee Loflin, SMT Manager/Editor
Flood Watch for Stoddard, MO
From 6:00 PM CST, Fri., Dec 20, 2013 until 6:00 AM CST, Sun., Dec 22, 2013
... FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.
* GROUND CONDITIONS REMAIN SATURATED FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND PAST PRECIPITATION EVENTS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS COMING OUT OF THEIR BANKS. ROADS THAT TYPICALLY FLOOD... WILL DO SO DURING THIS EVENT. THE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY REGION WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME INFLUENCE ON LARGER RIVERS AND THEIR LEVELS OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO
...HEAVY RAIN LIKELY LATE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...FLOODING POSSIBLE...RECENT PRECIPITATION AND SNOW MELT WILL COMBINE WITH EXPECTED RAINFALL LATE THIS WEEK...TO INCREASE THE CHANCE OF FLOODING. MODEL PROJECTIONS SUGGEST GENERALLY 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL STARTING THURSDAY NIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. WET SOILS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR FLASH FLOODING. DITCHES...CREEKS AND SMALLER RIVERS MAY FILL QUICKLY AND OVERFLOW. ROADS MAY BECOME WATER COVERED QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY THOSE TYPICALLY AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATERS.
LONGER RANGE MODEL OUTPUT SUGGESTS MINOR RIVER FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE DURING CHRISTMAS WEEK. WITH RESPECT TO THE LARGER RIVERS...ONLY LOW LAND RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED THAT MAY IMPACT AGRICULTURAL LAND AND A FEW ROADS CLOSEST TO THE RIVER.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST DATA...AND MAKE NECESSARY ADJUSTMENTS TO WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR.